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warrenblock
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Joined: 31 July 2003
Location: Australia
Posts: 267
Posted: 14 August 2003 at 3:44pm | IP Logged Quote warrenblock

Trainer and Jockey statistics.

The Wizard addresses the human element associated with each horse. The critical human element, the trainer and the jockey.

For many years the Wizard has published the most comprehensive Jockey Statistics for Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, and Adelaide racing and this unique guide will be retained. As well the Wizard provides extra details of the jockey’s record on the horse as well as statistics on the level of success enjoyed by the trainer of the horse.

These statistics are to be found in each horse’s detailed form, directly under the horse’s name.

Nature of the Statistics

The trainer and jockey statistics to which I refer below relate to the last 12 months racing, except for one of the trainer statistics which covers five years and the jockey/horse stats that obviously span the horse’s complete racing career.

Also it should be noted that, except for the jockey/horse figures, all of the other stats are limited to horses that started at odds of 20/1 or less. By limiting the report to these horses we are deliberately ingoring all of the long priced horses that account for many runs but few winners, and tend to hide the true ability of the trainers and the jockeys.

The aim of our trainer and jockey stats is to identify those individuals who are more likely to deliver when associated with a horse that rates as a genuine contender.

To give you a frame of reference by which you can judge jockey and trainer performance using these special Wizard statistics I produce below the stats for the winners of the Jockey and Trainer Premierships in Sydney 2002-2003 season.

Darren Beadman

Location last 12 months (140-197-725 19%) = Loc12m

Overall last 12 months (170-236-848 20%) = Ovrl12m

Gai Waterhouse

Location last 12 months (171-185-719 22%) = Loc12m

Location last 5 years (604-774-2903 21%) = Loc5y

Overall last 12 months (242-279-1086 22%) = Ovrl12m

With Chris Munce (81-66-298 27%) = Joc Trn 12m

Any trainer or jockey whose figures approach or better those of Darren and Gai can be regarded as very competent indeed in the location in which they are competing.

Stats by Location

To ensure the Wizard trainer and jockey stats have particular relevance we have broken down Australian (and New Zealand) racing into Location categories. Our classification is as follows:

Location A – Premier centres – Sydney, Melbourne and their New Zealand equivalents.

Location B – Major centres – Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, and selected NZ tracks.

Location C – Minor metropolitan and major provincial tracks – Hobart, Launceston, Gosford, Ballarat, etc.

Location D – Minor provincial tracks and more significant country tracks – Canberra, Swan Hill etc.

Locations E and F – Lesser country tracks.

The Jockey Stats

The new Wizard jockey stats are listed in three categories.

First we have the win-place-starts and win percentage record of the jockey in the Location of the coming meeting. The stats cover the riding record in this "area of competitiveness" over the last 12 months.

For example, if the coming meeting is at Randwick, then the stats would be derived only from rides in LocA, covering the jockey’s rides on all of the Sydney and Melbourne (and NZ equivalents) tracks over the past year. If the meeting was to be at Doomben then the stats would be designated Location B stats (LocB).

If you were using a Wizard Direct race file and analysing the form for (say) Newcastle, the rides that qualified would be those at 20/1 or less on LocC tracks.

By breaking down the stats in this way we can show more clearly just how well each jockey has ridden against a particular level of opposition over the past year. The stats show unexpected strengths and well as weaknesses.

As well as the Location stats we also include the rider’s full record on horses at 20/1 or less for the past 12 months as a frame of reference and as relevant stats in their own right.

The final set of stats specific to the jockey is his/her record on the horse to be ridden at the coming meeting.

The Trainer Stats

The Wizard trainer stats also include Location based information, and for the trainer the Location stats cover both 12 months and 5 years.

The 12 month time horizon covers what might be termed the "current" record of the trainer at a particular level of competition.

The reason for including the 5 year period is to pick up those trainers who infrequently venture into certain "locations" but when they do, they do so with a horse they believe to be competitive and are are successful more often than their lower profile would suggest likely.

As well as the location stats the trainer’s overall record for the past 12 months is included, again for all starters at 20/1 or less.

The Trainer/Jockey Stats

To show the level of success the trainer has had with the jockey who is to ride the horse, the trainer/jockey stats for the past 12 months are included. The 20/1 or less restriction applies here as well.

Warren Block, Publisher

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