The Betting Essentials Book on Horse Racing by Warren Block

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Reader query about making early selections - My reply

BETTING ESSENTIALS - BJ says: "It will go on my bookshelf alongside my Don Scott and Rem Plante books."

 

Warren Block's Daily Report - Sunday, 20 September 2026

  • Reader query about making early selections - My reply
  • Matrix day-by-day results for Sunday and Monday racing
  • Wizard Freebie - Wizard Personal Print
  • Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results

 

Reader query about making early selections - My reply

This week I had a query from a Wizard subscriber which was a little more general in nature than the normal subscriber query and I thought my reply might be of general interest. So here is the relevant section:

"If you are seeking to make your selections by the evening of the race meeting your options are somewhat limited.

Significant information is not available until race morning, as well as later in the key 30 minutes before race start, but a sensible approach is possible.

First, if your objective is to "beat the price" and find horses that the bookies have mispriced and are offering substantial overs, be careful. The bookie's price framers are very good analysts and are well informed. Genuine mistakes are not common, in terms of the horse being offered at what appear to be "big" overlays and then subsequently winning. The vast majority of perceived big "overs" end up losing.

If you are, however, seeking well founded selections based on reliable data there is an approach that is worth considering.

You will need to use the Wizard Essentials and Trainer/Jockey Performance reports, available on race eve, and the Magic report available on race morning. The information is quick to locate and by concentrating on the horse which delivers the highest strike rate from its base ratings (the WRat 100 pointer), confirming its consistency (win % and recency via the Essentials win% and wins last year), and the success rates of the trainer and trainer/jockey combination when the horse is in the market), and its suitability via the Essentials Filter score, prefer when 7+, you will narrow down the possibilities to a manageable and well-based shortlist. You can then back this up with the "firmers" information from Magic at 9.30am on race morning.

A possible worksheet would look something like this:

 

Matrix day-by-day results for Sunday and Monday racing

The tables show the results for the past eight weeks for the day on which racing occurred. So, today being Sunday, this Matrix DOW (Day of Week) report covers the past eight Sunday and Monday results. The day-after results are included so that they are available on race-eve, rather than only on race morning.

(The daily Matrix report aims to assist subscribers contain the number of bets to manageable proportions and improve the strike rate. The report is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day with an update at 12 noon.)

 

Wizard Freebie - Wizard Personal Print

The Wizard publishes on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today, a Wizard Personal Print. The full report and all other reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

 

 Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives results

We publish these full results daily so that subscribers can see the results of the Wizard's ratings options, and Report-content, and thereby formulate a selecting and betting strategy that suits them individually. The Wizard ratings should not be seen as "tips", rather as objective assessments that can be used to inform one's own judgement as to the relative chances of the runners in a race.

The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer, the MaxR top-two, the What-IF top-two Filtered, together with the Matrix W1+MaxR100 Selective qualifier, and the Matrix W1+*EO+MaxR100 Selective qualifier. Also included are the overall results for last week and the last four weeks. The 2024-2025 column shows the WRat results for the full racing season.

This results summary is colour coded so that it is easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis. The best overall qualifier (yellow) is highlighted. Also, the single runner options are grouped separately, as are the two-horse and multi-horse options results, again to make comparisons easier.

The following table shows this week's results of alternative options with respect to possible Matrix Selectives combinations, as well as weekly summaries. These combinations are accessible via the Wizard MATRIX report which is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am, and updated around 12 noon, each day.

(Key: The first of the two columns for each Selective combination shows number of qualifying races and the second column shows the strike rate. Headings: RWM is Raceday,Watch,Magic, RWM 2/3 means two or three qualifying, Rday is Raceday report qualifier, Magic is Magic report qualifier, R/M is Raceday and Magic, WR1 is Wrat 100, MR1 is MaxR 100.)

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by WRat, WMod, WHcp, and WExpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.

Header: WMHER = WRat (W), WMod (M), WHcp (H), WExpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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Welcome to everyrace.com, the official website for the Wizard Formguide, Superform magazine and Online Handicapping.

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As well as the Wizard ratings, statistics, reports and detailed form, Wizard users can access the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and Wizard Systems.

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The Wizard is an online formguide available every day from this website. It provides form and ratings for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

The formguide is supplied as downloadable and printable PDF files. Buying the Wizard also gives you access to the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and the ability to generate individualised Wizard Systems.

The Betting Essentials Book on Horse Racing by Warren Block

Wizard

The Wizard is an online formguide available every day from this website. It provides form and ratings for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

The formguide is supplied as downloadable and printable PDF files. Buying the Wizard also gives you access to the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and the Wizard Systems.

You also have access to the Wizard Race Fields, incredibly detailed form history and statistical content live on our site (which is also optimised for mobiles)

   21/09/2026 : GRAFTON
NARROMINE
WARRNAMBOOL
   22/09/2026 : EMERALD(nr)
LEETON(nr)
SWAN HILL(nr)
TAREE(nr)
Meetings being covered by the Wizard
(s) indicates that scratchings have been processed.
(nr) indicates early fields and form without any ratings.

Superform

For decades, Superform has been Australia's premier ratings, results, form analysis and race handicapping service.

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