BETTING ESSENTIALS - CC says: "Betting Essentials helps readers understand not just what to look for, but why it matters."
Warren Block's Daily Report - Friday, 10 July 2026
- Betting Essentials - Fluctuations results Updated and Expanded
- Matrix day-by-day results for Friday and Saturday racing
- Wizard Freebie - The Wizard Matrix Report
- Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results
Betting Essentials - Fluctuations results Updated and Expanded
The significance of betting fluctuations can be better appreciated when a punters real-world experience is brought into the analysis. The following studies all used actual market percentages and not adjusted percentages.
To investigate the real-world implications, in Betting Essentials the Wizards WRat 100 pointer was used.
The following table in the book showed the impact of positive and negative fluctuations on WRat 100 runners, for both 3% and 5% changes.
In the 2023-2024 season which was the period covered in the original research, the Wizard rated 16,841 races, and the overall strike rate was 26%.
Waiting for a positive signal before betting, here firming by 3% from the 30 minute odds, saw the WRat100 strike rate improve to 38%.
A negative market signal, in the form of WRat100s odds easing by 3% at the 15 minute mark, flagged a lower potential strike rate.
Now looking at the figures for these WRat100 horses that firmed or eased by 3% or more in the period since Betting Essentials was released - from February 1 this year to June 30, a period of 5 months. In that time there were 6,391 races, and the overall win strike rate for these runners improved to 27.7%.
The following table shows that the positivity in the initial results has been confirmed, with even better strikes rates being recorded.
For this Daily Report article as well as looking at the Wizard Top Rater as originally published in my book, I also analysed the performance of the Wizard Second-Top Rated runner under the same conditions, but over a longer period, August-June, 2025-2026.
Over this extended period there were 12,815 races, and the Wrat 2 runner had an overall strike rate of 17.8%.
The results of this analysis clearly show the significance of market action and the value of taking it into account.
Matrix day-by-day results for Friday and Saturday racing
The tables show the results for the past eight weeks for the day on which racing occurred. So, today being Friday, this Matrix DOW (Day of Week) report covers the past eight Friday and Saturday results. The day-after results are included so that they are available on race-eve, rather than only on race morning.
(The daily Matrix report aims to assist subscribers contain the number of bets to manageable proportions and improve the strike rate. The report is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day with an update at 12 noon.)
Wizard Freebie - The Wizard Matrix Report
The Wizard publishes on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today, a Wizard Matrix (First Four) Report for one meeting. The full report and all other reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers
The Wizard Matrix report aims to assist subscribers contain the number of bets to manageable proportions and improve the strike rate.
Click here for an explanation of the Wizard Matrix report.
Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives results
We publish these full results daily so that subscribers can see the results of the Wizard's ratings options, and Report-content, and thereby formulate a selecting and betting strategy that suits them individually. The Wizard ratings should not be seen as "tips", rather as objective assessments that can be used to inform one's own judgement as to the relative chances of the runners in a race.
The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer, the MaxR top-two, the What-IF top-two Filtered, together with the Matrix W1+MaxR100 Selective qualifier, and the Matrix W1+*EO+MaxR100 Selective qualifier. Also included are the overall results for last week and the last four weeks. The 2024-2025 column shows the WRat results for the full racing season.
This results summary is colour coded so that it is easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis. The best overall qualifier (yellow) is highlighted. Also, the single runner options are grouped separately, as are the two-horse and multi-horse options results, again to make comparisons easier.
The following table shows this week's results of alternative options with respect to possible Matrix Selectives combinations, as well as weekly summaries. These combinations are accessible via the Wizard MATRIX report which is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day.
(Key: The first of the two columns for each Selective combination shows number of qualifying races and the second column shows the strike rate. Headings: RWM is Raceday,Watch,Magic, RWM 2/3 means two or three qualifying, Rday is Raceday report qualifier , Magic is Magic report qualifier, R/M is Raceday and Magic, WR1 is Wrat 100, MR1 is MaxR 100.)
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by WRat, WMod, WHcp, and WExpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.
Header: WMHER = WRat (W), WMod (M), WHcp (H), WExpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results